T5 / IRT-5

Integrated scenarios for the Land-Soil-Water-Food nexus under societal pressures and challenges

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Czech Republic
  • Europe
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Romania
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • United Kingdom



Ellen Luytenellen.luyten@ovam.bewww.ovam.beYesyesyes
SCENARIO-BUILDING AND URBAN METABOLISM It is important to consider soil and land quality in scenario development. Could this scenario building be connected to urban metabolism methodology in order to give them a more prominent role in development of metabolic insights? Or to find the mutual synergies? On the otherhand we see the natural resources and especially soil and land are not easily considered in urban metabolism methodology. How can we increase the role of soil, land, ecology and ecosystems in these new methodologies to saveguard urban quality of life .possibly, currently fundingnbal@ovam.be

Czech Republic

Zdenek Semorad
xyzdenek.semorad@mmr.czhttps://www.mmr.cz/cs/Regionalni-politika-a-cestovni-ruch/Podpora-regionu/Programy-Dotace/Archiv-programu-a-dotaci-regionalni-politiky-(1)/Podpora-regionalniho-rozvoje-v-roce-2005/Vyzkum-a-jeho-programyyespossiblynoResearch for Needs of Regions - Ministry of Regional Development of CZ
Lukas Kacena
xylukas.kacena@tacr.czhttps://www.tacr.cz/index.php/en/yespossiblynoTechnology Agency of the Czech Republic, section for management of research



Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry
Jaana KaipainenJaana.Kaipainen@mmm.fihttp://mmm.fi/en/frontpageyespossiblyyesAt the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, the core task of research and development activities is to proactively produce knowledge, expertise and innovations to support decision-making, promote the competitiveness of economic activities and ensure the sustainable use of renewable natural resources. The Ministry’s research and development appropriation is used, in particular, to fund research, development and study projects that support planning, foresight, monitoring and impact assessment activities concerning policy measures and legislation. The Development Fund for Agriculture and Forestry (Makera) grants R&D funding for research activities that benefit the agri-food sector across a broad front. The main focus is on research concerning the sustainable development of the profitability and competitiveness of livelihoods. Makera also provides funding for research on reindeer husbandry, natural means of livelihood and development activities in the Skolt Sámi area and rural research and development projects.
Scenarios and integrated themespossiblyantti.rehunen@ymparisto.fi


Ministry of Agriculture and Food
Marion BARDYmarion.bardy@agriculture.gouv.frhttp://www,agriculture.gouv.frunknownyesyesHow to manage the multifunctionality of agricultural soils, also takes into account in the decision making - transverse to several themes. What means of action / levers for actors managing agricultural ecosystems
Systemic approaches Link with CAP post-2020 ? (EXCO study and implementation of what comes out of the EFESE-EA study (French decliantion of the MAES for agro-ecosystems)yesmc.dictor@brgm.fr


European Initiative for Agricultural Research for Development (EIARD)
Dr. Jürgen Anthoferjuergen.anthofer@giz.dewww.giz.deyesyespossibly
The European Initiative for Agricultural Research for Development (EIARD) is a permanent informal European donor coordination platform on policies and investments regarding agricultural research for development (ARD) between the European Commission, Member States of the European Union, Switzerland and Norway. EIARD's goal is to reduce poverty, to promote economic growth, food and nutrition security, sustainable management of natural resources in Africa, Latin America and Asia … through effective and harmonized European investments and policies in ARD, promotion of partnerships and support to capacity development (EIARD Strategy) Eligible members of EIARD are the European Commission, EU member states and Norway and Switzerland. Each member state has a national contact point with potentially other national representatives who all come from national ministries or delegated line agencies. EIARD is interested in additional contacts and joint initiative to funding institutions in Europe. possibly, currently fundinguwe.ferber@stadtland.eu
Federal Ministry of Education and Resarch
Dr. Kristina Grossk.gross@fz-juelich.dewww.ptj.deyeayesyes
Urban and rural areas are closely interrelated and depending heavily on to each other. Urbanization and digitization - these and other trends urgently need to redefine functional urban areas and the urban-rural relationships. Coping with conflicts and initiating sustainable land use is of central importance. As part of the initiative “Future Cities” urban-rural relationships are part of intensive research activities in Germany. The BMBF is therefore interested to exchange in an international dialogue.possiblyuwe.ferber@stadtland.eu



implementation programme soil and subsurface
Leo Hamerlinck (via Linda Maring)linda.maring@deltares.nlhttps://www.bodemplus.nl/onderwerpen/bodem-ondergrond/bodemconvenant/thema/kennis/uitvragen/uitvraag-2017/aanbestedingsvormen/xxxpossiblypossiblyThis programme has budget untill (10 mln between 2017-2020) for soil and subsurface. They use the Dutch knowledge agenda soil and subsurface (which is the same as the dutch contribution to the INSPIRATION agenda) as leading research questions. They set out different calls (next call is on climate / rural area, nature / infrastructure or energy, max 150 KEUR, 50% cofininancing needed, deadline Nov 29 2017 ) They are open for collaboration in europe. how and on which topics is not specified yest. Probably theyw ant to arrange this via the Knowledge and Innovation Program Soil and Subsurface (also entered in this database)



Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Maria MaiaMaria.Maia@fct.ptwww.fct.ptPermission for what?yesyes
possibly, already funded, currently fundingtpanago@ualg.pt
Center on Spatial and Organizational Dynamics
Thomas Panagopoulostpanago@ualg.pthttp://cieo.pt/mission.phpyespossiblyyes
António José Conde Buzio Sampaio Ramos
outside our remittpanago@ualg.pt





Basque Government
Ignacio de la Puerta Director of Spatial Planning, Urbanism and Urban Regeneration- Basque Governmentidelapuerta@euskadi.eushttp://www.euskadi.eus/gobierno-vasco/departamento-medio-ambiente-politica-territorial/inicio/YespossiblynoInterested in SRA and in following up the initiative of New Funder Platform
Water/energy/food system from the perspective of spatial planning and land use planning and policies, under climate change scenariospossiblygemma.garcia@tecnalia.com


The Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agrucultural Sciences and Spatial Planning
Elisabet Goranssonelisabet.goransson@formas.sewww.formas.seyespossiblypossiblyMay be a change of Contact person


Swiss National Science Foundation SNSF
c/o Marco Pützmarco.puetz@wsl.chwww.snf.chnonono
Swiss Federal Office for the Environment FOEN
c/o Marco Pützmarco.puetz@wsl.chwww.bafu.admin.chnonono

United Kingdom

Identification of land use scenarios that deliver benefits to society AND to the environment and lead to changes in soil management and spatial planning. Growing populations increase soil and land degradation thereby rendering the remaining scarce fertile soils vulnerable to overuse and further degradation. Scenarios modelling will help assess major impacts and decrease further degradation, secure food and identify ways of achieving land degradation neutrality. Changes in the economy and the society should estimate like growing / shrinking areas and their impact to the land-soil-sediment-water system .

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Investing in predictive models of alternative scenarios will deliver improved points of reference and baselines as a basis for decision making. It will enable better framing of systemic analyses and modeling. These improvements will contribute to deriving land management recommendations that enable achieving land degradation neutrality.
Land owners will be able to evaluate the impact of alternative courses of action on achieving land degradation neutrality, preserving the value of their land assets. Regulators will be better placed to ensure land degradation neutrality is being achieved and maintained. Scenarios may result in improved spatial planning and soil management.
Elaborating explorative and target oriented scenarios considering integrated, spatially-explicit models that account for trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem functions, land use and societal challenges to provide reasoned input into operation decision making. External effects of our economy (import of goods, ecological footprint) should be taken into account as well.
Citizens in Europe and beyond will benefit from integrated scenarios, because these will help decision makers to improve land use management. It will contribute to the realization of land degradation neutrality and will secure food provision.

Elaborating explorative and target oriented scenarios considering integrated, spatially-explicit models that take into account major trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem functions, land use and societal challenges. External effects of our economy (import of goods, environmental footprint into developing countries) should be taken into account as well.

Background: Societal challenges impact on how humans exploit natural resources. Only few integrated scenarios exist, which include changes in soil properties, water availability, food, and timber, fibre, or bio-energy production. Consequently, mutual synergies and trade-offs, what is often referred to as the nexus, remain unknown or unconsidered. Future scenarios do exist for the impact of land use and land cover change on climate and biodiversity but not vice versa, e.g. impact of biodiversity changes due to climate change on soil properties. A few integrated scenarios do exist, which include food production, bio-energy and wood biomass production, climate change and biodiversity, exploring pathways for achieving corresponding global targets. The results show a possibility to meet the demand for food and energy security but without achieving international climate and biodiversity targets at the same time. The integrated scenarios, which have been developed so far, have not taken into account the impacts on soil, water availability, floods and droughts; the timber and fibre production; nor their vital feedback on food, bio energy, climate and biodiversity and vice versa. To find out what scenarios benefit to the society AND to the environment very comprehensive scenarios have to be elaborated. The results may be lead to soil management and to spatial planning as well.
Goal: Elaborating explorative and target oriented scenarios considering integrated, spatially-explicit models that take into account major trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem functions, land use and societal challenges. External effects of our economy (import of goods, environmental footprint into developing countries) should be taken into account as well.
Rationale from the themes: Demand: We have to secure the ability to achieve the satisfaction of secure food and energy supply while ensuring the provision of fundamental climate and biodiversity functions simultaneously. But there is the concern of uncertainty related to forecasting the actiual need for additional demands for water, fibre and sustainable soils into the future; and unprecedented population increase in areas with low reserves of productive land that are also vulnerable to land degradation and climate change question our ability to satify societal needs. Consumption patterns, demographic growth and resource-efficiency technology transfer are key issues to be considered.
Natural Capital: Scenarios are needed for the development of demands of soil properties, amount of land (in different modeled land use strategies, e.g. organic versus conventional agriculture) but also for different purposes (food, fibre, fuel, fodder). Natural capital as a limited resource needs to be considered in such scenarios. Carry capacities, tipping points and so forth are to be considered for developing reliable and consistent scenarios. Scenarios should include all types of land use (urban, forest, agriculture, grassland) to find out which type of use in recommended under certain soil properties and societal demands.
Land Management: Scenario development is used to better understand potential futures. It helps to better understand the drivers and inhibitors of a potential (desired or undesired) scenario and, therby, gives indicators which can inform land management. – How we can compensate the gap between demand and existing soil properties by sustainable land management? How can we remediate degradation? What alternatives are given beside typical agriculture (urban agriculture)? Developing land use models that incorporate natural and human-induced factors as well that contribute to the halt of land degradation and that could be used for land planning and land management are needed. Road map for the implementation and operationalization of the SDG-target “land degradation neutral world”.
Net Impact: Methods and Data elaboration is needed to count and assess the net impact to soil, water, sediment and products (4 F) in order to achieve food security and land degradation neutrality.
So what? Caused by a growing population, increasing soil and land degradation the remaining scarce fertile soils with good properties are in danger to become overused. This may lead again to more degradation. To know by modeling scenarios and to assess the major impacts in every scenarios might decrease further degradation, secure food and give answers to the way how to reach the target of land degradation neutrality. Changes in the economy and the society should estimate like growing / shrinking areas and their impact to the land-soil-sediment-water nexus.
Links to other fields: There is also a link to the problem of refugees, land abandonment / degradation in states suffering from war and conflicts, and problems of resettlement from rural to urban areas. These scenarios have also taken into account.

Activities: knowledge creation

Goals: Clean water & sanitation, Affodable and clean energy, Industry innovation and infrastructure, Sustainable cities and communities, Responsible consumption, Climate action, Life on land

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